Outputs

We produce diverse outputs from our research, convening and capacity development activities. Here we list our main knowledge products. We also produce short films and video, news items on this website and various posters and presentations – through the ERA and CGSpace repositories.

Books and book chapters

Derbyshire, S.F., Mohamed, T.S., and Hassan, R. 2026. Pastoral prosperities: Rethinking African drylands. London: UCL Press.
Jensen, Nathaniel D. et al. 2024. Escaping Poverty Traps and Unlocking Prosperity in the Face of Climate Risk: Lessons from Index-Based Livestock Insurance. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Derbyshire, S.F. and Hassan, R. 2026. Pastoral prosperity in crisis. IN: Derbyshire, S.F., Mohamed, T.S., and Hassan, R. 2026. Pastoral prosperities: Rethinking African drylands. London: UCL Press.
Derbyshire, S.F., Mohamed, T.S., and Hassan, R. 2026. Introduction: Pastoral prosperities. IN: Derbyshire, S.F., Mohamed, T.S., and Hassan, R. 2026. Pastoral prosperities: Rethinking African drylands. London: UCL Press.
Maru, N., Ferrari, S., Ahearn, A. and Mohamed, T.S. 2026. Pathways and possibilities for pastoralist youth. IN: Moritz, M. et al. 2026. Routledge Handbook of Pastoralism. London: Routledge.
Mohamed, T.S. 2026. Resilient livelihoods: Social protection and collective solidarity for climate change adaptation in East Africa’s drylands. IN: Jain, J. and Kariuki, R. (eds). 2026. Climate change is a human problem: Finding the missing voices of climate resilience. Nairobi: Busara Center for Behavioral Economics: 66-69.
Scoones, I., Mohamed, T.S., and Taye, M. 2026. The politics of anticipation in East Africa’s rangelands. IN: Müller-Mahn, D. and Bollig, M. African futures in the making. Abingdon, UK: James Currey: 272-295.
Wangari-Muneri, E. and Mohamed, T.S. 2026. Pastoralist women’s pathways to prosperity: Collective solidarity, commoning and moral economy practices in Kenya’s arid and semi-arid lands.IN: Derbyshire, S.F., Mohamed, T.S., and Hassan, R. 2026. Pastoral prosperities: Rethinking African drylands. London: UCL Press.

Reports

Adam, A., Mohammed, N., Walker, A., Allard, J., Brown, F., Kirwa, L., Muhandale, A., Puerta Fernandez, M. de la, Jensen, N.D., Lazarus, B., Kristensen, K, 2026. Early warning systems and dryland communities in the Horn of Africa: Ethiopia country report. Edinburgh: Urban Foresight for the Jameel Observatory for Food Security Early Action.
Centre for Humanitarian Change. 2022. Anticipatory action to mitigate drought-induced crises: Tracking drought impacts and aid responses in Kenya and Somalia, 2020-2022. Edinburgh: Jameel Observatory and Save the Children.
Ceriani, R., Vrieling, A., Paliwal, A., Meroni, M., Kamanga, B., Karissa, G., Mbaka, M., Mutanda, N., Ogolla, C., Zyambo, I., and Fava, F.P. 2025. Evaluation of alternative Earth Observation datasets to support operational drought risk financing and management initiatives in Kenya. Milan: University of Milan for the Jameel Observatory for Food Security Early Action.
Ceriani, R., Vrieling, A., Paliwal, A., Meroni, M., Kamanga, B., Karissa, G., Mbaka, M., Mutanda, N., Ogolla, C., Zyambo, I., and Fava, F.P. 2025. Exploring the potential of high-resolution Earth Observation datasets to support operational drought monitoring systems in Kenya. Milan: University of Milan for the Jameel Observatory for Food Security Early Action.
Cherotich, F., Ceriani, R., Fava F.P., Vrieling, A. and Paliwal, A. 2025. Anticipatory drought risk finance product design: Workshop report. Nairobi, Kenya: ILRI.
Constenla-Villoslada, S. and Blumenstock, J. 2026. Machine Learning-based early warning system for child hunger crises in ASAL Kenya: Final report from a research impact accelerator project. Berkeley: University of California for the Jameel Observatory for Food Security Early Action
Derbyshire, S.F., Mayhew, L.,Tangara, M.B., Balfour, N. and Seck, E. 2025. The drylands of tomorrow: Pathways to prosperity, peace and resilience. London: SPARC.
Derbyshire, S.F., Mohamed, T., Hassan, R., Banerjee, R. , Roba, G. and Elmi, M. 2025. Anticipatory action in the drylands: Exploring key challenges and opportunities for early warning in pastoralist areas of the Greater Horn of Africa. ILRI Workshop Report. Nairobi, Kenya: ILRI.
Egedorf, M.M. and Lehmann, S. 2025. Community-based Anticipatory Action in the Borana Zone, Ethiopia. Copenhagen: ADRA Denmark
Farr, E., Finnegan, L., Grace, J., and Truscott, M. 2022. Dangerous delay 2: The cost of inaction. Edinburgh and London: Jameel Observatory, Oxfam and Save the Children.
Fava, F.P., Ceriani, R., Vrieling, A., Paliwal, A., Meroni, M., Kamanga, B., Karissa, G., Mbaka, M., Mutanda, N., Ogolla, C., and Zyambo, I. 2026. Next-Generation Earth Observation (EO) for Anticipatory Drought Risk Management in East African Pastoral Drylands. Milan: University of Milan for the Jameel Observatory for Food Security Early Action.
Grace, J. 2024. Lessons learned: Anticipatory action in a protracted crisis. London: Save the Children.
Grossi, A., Borthwick, F., Simm, G., Worou, N., Menéndez, M. D. V., Crane, T., Belay, B. and Hansen J. 2025. Harmonizing Climate Risk Management in Agricultural Extension (CRMAE) Curricula Targeting Livestock Systems. Nairobi: Accelerating Impacts of CGIAR Climate Research for Africa.
Hansen, J., Dinku, T., Trzaska, S., Grossi, A., Jensen, N.D., Dione, M., Bett, B., Dhulipala, R., Mohamed, T.S., Derbyshire, S.F., Huyer, S., Moore, M., Ruirie, O., Kiambe, K., Mungau, L. and Mugo, G. 2025. Climate Risk Management in Agricultural and Livestock Extension – Kenya Reference Guide. Nairobi: Accelerating Impacts of CGIAR Climate Research for Africa.
Inter-Agency Working Group, Save the Children International and Jameel Observatory for Food Security Early Action. 2024. Report: Anticipatory action and resilience conference, Nairobi, 27 June 2024. Nairobi: Inter-Agency Working Group.
IGAD Centre for Pastoral Areas and Livestock Development, Jameel Observatory for Food Security Early Action, and Supporting Pastoralism and Agriculture in Recurrent and Protracted Crises Programme. 2025. Building the Resilience and Prosperity of Pastoralists and Dryland Communities: Summary report of the research and policy dialogue, Nairobi, Kenya, 1–2 October 2025. Edinburgh: University of Edinburgh.
Jameel Observatory for Food Security Early Action. 2024.The Dryland Futures Academy Education Framework (version 1.0). Edinburgh: University of Edinburgh Global Academy of Agriculture and Food Security.
Jensen, N.D. et al. 2024. Escaping Poverty Traps and Unlocking Prosperity in the Face of Climate Risk: Lessons from Index-Based Livestock Insurance. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Jensen, N.D., Abdi, M., and Hussein, J. 2025. Co-creation of a research agenda for localized anticipatory action in Somalia. Nairobi: Jameel Observatory for Food Security Early Action.
Jensen, N.D., Lopez-Rivas, J., Morsink, K., and Rikken, E. 2025. Weathering conflict: The effect of resource shocks on livestock raids. CSAE Working Paper 2025-02. Oxford: University of Oxford Centre for the Study of African Economies.
Mercy Corps and Jameel Observatory for Food Security Early Action. 2025. Weather and Climate Information Services for Pastoralists: Notes from an evidence review and distillation workshop, Nairobi, 18-19 March 2025. Nairobi: Mercy Corps.
Morinere, L.C., Tozier de la Poterie, A., Swift, L. and Schofield, L. 2024. Looking ahead in the midst of a crisis: The role of anticipatory action in a protracted drought. London: Save the Children.
Muhandale, A., Kirwa, L., Walker, A., Allard, J., Brown, F., Adam, A., Mohammed, N., Puerta Fernandez, M. de la, Jensen, N.D., Lazarus, B., and Kristensen, K. 2026. Early warning systems and dryland communities in the Horn of Africa: Kenya country report. Edinburgh: Urban Foresight for the Jameel Observatory for Food Security Early Action.
Puerta Fernandez, M.L. de la., Adam, A., Kirwa, L., Kiprop, C., Jensen, N., Lazarus, B., Kristensen, K., & Walker, A. 2025. Early warning systems and dryland communities in the Horn of Africa: A desk review of actors, challenges, and opportunities. Edinburgh. Urban Foresight for the Jameel Observatory for Food Security Early Action
Shikuku, K.M., Banerjee, R., Lepariyo, W., Baraza, M., Gobu, W., Godana, N., Galgallo, D., Paliwal, A., Malicha, W., Cherotich, F., Ochenje, I., Fava, F., Jensen, N., Chelanga, P., Alulu, V., Naibei, O., Ericksen, P, and Whitbread, A. 2025. Supporting (agro) pastoralists’ resilience through real-time monitoring of drought in Ethiopia and Kenya: Final technical report on the Drought Index-insurance for Resilience in the Sahel and Horn of Africa (DIRISHA) project. London: SPARC
Swift, L. et al. 2024. No regrets: Acting in anticipation of flooding in Somaliland. London: Save the Children.
Swift, L. and Schofield, L. 2024. Lessons in anticipatory action: An operational pilot for flooding in Kenya. London: Save the Children.
Watmough, G. et al. 2024. Final report – How can we produce a time series of country-level childhood wasting estimates, accounting for seasonality: exploring the impact of survey timing? Edinburgh: University of Edinburgh Data for Children Collaborative.

Policy and research briefs

Bedelian, C., Nyamweya, N.B., Muiruri, R., Kirwa, L. and Sugastti, M.M. 2026. Weather and climate information for pastoralists: Opportunities and pathways. Policy Brief. Edinburgh: University of Edinburgh. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/183633
Derbyshire, S.F., Denge, G., Jimale, B., Lazarus, B. and Schynoll, C. 2026. How can anticipatory action better support pastoralists? Policy Brief. Edinburgh: University of Edinburgh.
Mohamed, T.S. and Diriye, A. 2026. Rethinking social protection in the drylands: Lessons from pastoralist mutual assistance and solidarity networks. Policy Brief. Edinburgh: University of Edinburgh. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/183630
Mutua, J.Y., Duncan, A.J., Jensen, N.D., Cramer, L.K., Chelang’a, P. and Watmough, G. 2026. Earth observation forecasting: Can we prevent livestock feed crises? Policy Brief. Edinburgh: University of Edinburgh. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/183616
Njambi-Szlapka, S., Chamberlin, W., Bedelian, C. and Sugastti, M.M. 2026. Behavioural considerations for effective early and anticipatory action. Policy Brief. Edinburgh: University of Edinburgh. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/183612
Shikuku, K.M., Nyamweya, N.B., Jaquez, C., Jensen, N.D. and Baltenweck, I. 2026. Resilient horizons: Re-thinking sustainable risk solutions for pastoral and agro-pastoral communities in the Horn of Africa. Policy Brief. Edinburgh: University of Edinburgh. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/183628
Thomas, S., Wachira, J., Jensen, N.D., Jackson, R., Chamberlin, W. and Jimale, B. 2026. Health systems and anticipatory actions for resilient drylands. Policy Brief. Edinburgh: University of Edinburgh. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/183619
Tsitati, G., Mokku, J., Kirwa, L., Muiruri, R. and Wasonga, O.V. 2026. Blending multiple knowledges for action: Weather and climate information services in pastoralist contexts. Policy Brief. Edinburgh: University of Edinburgh.
Mutua, J.Y., Baltenweck, I., Teufel, N., Amole, T., Paliwal, A., Cherotich, F. and Duncan, A. 2025. AU-IBAR uses feed assessment modelling to support Nigeria and Cameroun livestock investments. CGIAR Outcome Brief. Nairobi, Kenya: ILRI.
Louhaichi, M., Notenbaert, A., Cramer, L., Balcha, Y., Mulatu, K., Jordan, I., Mohamed, T., Flintan, F. and Baltenweck, I. 2025. A fairer future: Equitable climate action in low- and middle-income countries’ livestock systems. CGIAR Issue Brief Series for Informing COP 30. Montpellier, France: CGIAR.
Cassar, X.G.G.N.A. 2025. Informing the Design of Livestock Insurance Subsidy Programmes in Ethiopia: Research findings and recommendations. Dublin: Trinity College Dublin
Derbyshire, S.F., Mohamed, T., Banerjee, R., Hassan, R. and Rogei, D.S. 2024. Anticipatory action in the drylands: steps toward centring pastoralist knowledge. ILRI Policy Brief 42. Nairobi, Kenya: ILRI.
Mohamed, T.S., Crane, T.A., Roba, G., Derbyshire, S. and Banerjee, R. 2024. Breaking down silos: Towards effective integration of resilience and humanitarian aid in the Horn of Africa. ILRI Workshop Brief. Nairobi, Kenya: ILRI.

Journal articles

Bleasdale, M., Derbyshire, S.F., Lucas, M., Lowasa, L., Lehn, C., Ekidor Nami, J., Ilgner, J., Boivin, N., Roberts, P. 2026. Exploring contemporary pastoral variability through stable isotope analysis in the Turkana Basin, Kenya. Current Anthropology 67(1)
Derbyshire, S.F., Banerjee, R.R., Mohamed, T.S. and Roba, G.M. 2024. Uncertainty, pastoral knowledge and early warning: A review of drought management in the drylands, with insights from northern Kenya. Pastoralism: Research, Policy and Practice 14:13006.
Derbyshire, S.F., Jensen, N.D., Mutua, J.Y., Mohamed, T.S., Mukwaya, P.R., Roba, G.M., Njambi-Szlapka, S., Thomas, S., Tsitati, G. and Duncan, A.J. 2026. Anticipatory action and pastoralism in Africa: A synthesis of current challenges, opportunities, and priorities. Disasters, 50(1): e70026
Derbyshire, S.F. and Jobbins, G. 2026. Editorial: resilience in protracted crises: navigating uncertainty in the drylands. Disasters 50(1): e70042.
Hassan, R., Derbyshire, S.F., Stites, E., and Scoones, I. 2026. Rethinking vulnerability and humanitarian assistance in the pastoral drylands: insights from northern Kenya and southern Ethiopia. Disasters 50(1): e70033
Hassan, R., Mohamed, T.S., Scoones, I., Wachira, J., and Wario, H.T. 2026. Resilience from below: Rethinking development in northern Kenya’s pastoral drylands. Journal of Development Studies: 1–19.
Herrington, R., El-Gayar, A., Okoth, J., Boden, L. and Thomas, L.F. 2026. The role of livestock in the nutrition of refugees and internally displaced people: A scoping review. Nutrition Research Reviews 39: e14
Jensen, N., Barrett, C., Mude, A., Banerjee, R., Noritomo, Y., Shikuku, K., Takahashi, K. and Teufel, N. 2025. Index-based Livestock insurance to support pastoralists against droughts. Food Policy 137: 102909.
Jensen, N., Lepariyo, W., Alulu, V. et al. 2025. Impacts of consumption tracking and tailored feedback on meeting nutritional recommendations: a longitudinal regression discontinuity study. Nutrition Journal 24 (85).
Jensen, N., Teufel, N., Banerjee, R., Galgallo, D. and Shikuku, K.M. 2024. The role of heterogenous implementation on the uptake and long-term diffusion of agricultural insurance in a pastoral context. Food Policy 125:102644.
Kahiu, N., Anchang, J., Alulu, V., Fava, F.P., Jensen, N. and Hanan, N.P. 2024. Leveraging browse and grazing forage estimates to optimize index-based livestock insurance. Scientific Reports 14:14834.
Lentz, E., Jensen, N., Lepariyo, W., Narayanan, S. and Bageant, E. 2025. Adapting the Women’s empowerment in nutrition index: Lessons from Kenya. World Development, 188: 106887.
Liu, B., Maples, S., Kong, J., Fava, F.P., Jensen, N., Chelanga, P., Charles, S., Hassell, J., Robinson, Lance., Glowacki, L., Barry, M. and Wild. H. 2025. Leveraging deep learning models to increase the representation of nomadic pastoralists in health campaigns and demographic surveillance. PLOS Global Public Health, 5(4), e0004018.
Mohamed, T.S. 2026. Adaptable livelihoods and the persistence of pastoralism: A longitudinal study of pastoral livelihood transformation in northern Kenya, Isiolo. Development Policy Review 44(1): e70058
Mohamed, T.S. 2026. Institutional and policy networks in disaster management in the Horn of Africa: insights from Kenya. Disasters 50(1): e70031
Mohamed, T.S. and Cramer, L.K. 2026. Sustainable livestock keeping: A strategic climate solution for Africa. PLOS Climate 5(5): e0000929.
Mohamed, T.S. and Nori, M. 2025. The moral economy behind the commoditisation of camel milk in northern Kenya. Journal of Eastern African Studies 19.
Mohamed, T.S., Crane, T.A., Derbyshire, S.F. and Roba, G.M. 2025. A review of approaches to the integration of humanitarian and development aid: the case of drought management in the Horn of Africa. Pastoralism: Research, Policy and Practice 15: 14001.
Mutua, J.Y., Duncan, A.J., Robinson, T.P., Fraval, S., Notenbaert, A.M.O. and Watmough, G.R. 2025. Effect of variation in gridded cattle diet composition on estimated enteric methane emissions in data sparse tropical regions. Animal 19(1): 101396.

Briefs

Jameel Observatory for Food Security Early Action. 2024. De-risking, financial security and safety nets for more resilient and food-secure communities in the Horn of Africa. Discussion Brief 6. Edinburgh: University of Edinburgh

Jameel Observatory for Food Security Early Action. 2024. Livestock as pathways to food secure and resilient ecosystems in the Horn of Africa. Discussion Brief 5. Edinburgh: University of Edinburgh

Jameel Observatory for Food Security Early Action. 2023. Integrating community knowledge to advance early warning and anticipatory action in drylands of the Horn of Africa. Discussion Brief 4. Edinburgh: University of Edinburgh

Jameel Observatory for Food Security Early Action. 2023. Data-driven early warning, prediction and analysis for well-coordinated and directed food security action in East Africa’s drylands. Discussion Brief 3. Edinburgh: University of Edinburgh

Jameel Observatory for Food Security Early Action. 2023. Enablers and blockers for effective anticipatory action against food crises in East African drylands. Discussion Brief 2. Edinburgh: University of Edinburgh

Jameel Observatory for Food Security Early Action. 2023. The definition and timing of anticipatory action to tackle food crises in East Africa: do they matter? Discussion Brief 1. Edinburgh: University of Edinburgh